talkingDigital

Windows Vista has really had me thinking lately about the future of computers.

Google, Zoho and others have developed very usable programs that work from any Internet based computer allowing anyone to access fully functional programs and all of their data from any Internet enabled computer anywhere.

USB flash drives and portable hard drives have also taken on abilities that were once only found in stand-alone computers. These drives can now run entire programs allowing you to plug them into any computer and run your programs. Once the device is unplugged all of your data goes with it.

Smartphones, like  the iPhone and Blackberry, have replaced 90 percent of what most users used to need a laptop for. Email, basic web surfing, simple games and calendar management can now be done as easily on a cell phone as an expensive and bulky laptop.

I think that in the next five years computers will exist in one of three forms, and none of these forms resembles what we use today.

1. The credit card computer. The day will come when hundreds of gigabytes will fit on a chip as thin as a credit card and as small as a Tic Tac. As of this moment such a chip can hold over 30 gigabytes.

Perhaps one day we will simply have dumb terminals, computer monitors, keyboards and mice that use a simple network interface to connect to the Internet and devices such as printers, digital cameras and cell phones. These terminals will have no memory or storage abilities.

To use these computers, you will insert a small device that you carry in your wallet, or on your keyring. The dumb terminal will suddenly become your computer as it uses the programs and data from your credit card computer that is with you at all times.

2. The cell  phone computer. This is a variation of the credit card computer, but it  is much more practical.

The iPhone was not the first smartphone to combine computer functions with the portability of a cell phone, but it was the first smartphone to get the average user’s attention.

Devices like the Blackberry, Palm Treo and iPhone do more than the average computer was capable of seven years ago.

As memory, power and features expand in portable cell phones, would it be any surprise if we were able to carry our entire computer in such a small package?

Connect the phone into a similar dumb terminal as discussed in number 1 and you have a computer that works in the office, on the road and at home.

3. The Web 2.0 system. There is a good possibility that many computer users will be too attached to their non-portable desktop systems. There is comfort in having a solid 15lb. tower that connects all of your devices.

It is possible that personal computers may stay physically similar to what they are today for quite a while. However, the software on those systems will dramatically change.

Wireless broadband Internet will almost certainly reach most computer users in the next 10 years. This will lead to  Internet based computers. These computers will have a very plain operating system and limited storage capabilities. Powerful processors and video cards may still be essential for those who do games, graphics and CAD, but all programs and data will be stored in online accounts that can be accessed and used from any computer anywhere.

The debate between Mac and PC users will disappear as the operating system will play little or no role in the function of the computer.

I would not be at all surprised if Google is the driving force behind this type of computing. Especially since they already are the driving force for this type of computing.

No matter what type of computer we use, I think that the obvious end will be that TVs will double as monitors and all computing will be portable.

This week’s article is for all you dial-up Internet users who haven’t moved to broadband because it is too expensive. I am not directing my comments to those who are on dial-up because they live in the toolywads and are not eligible for DSL or Cable Internet.

Broadband Internet is no longer a luxury, it is a necessity and a value for anyone who uses the Internet more than five minutes per day. To illustrate I will explain how broadband Internet can give you half an hour or more to the average day simply by making one single chore easier.

How a dial-up user makes dinner:

1. Take a survey of what’s in the fridge. Ah! Left over chili, garlic, sour cream, and corn tortillas. – 5 minutes.
2. Dig through half a dozen or more recipe books to find a recipe that includes enough of these ingredients to make a pleasant dish. – at least 20 minutes.
3. Try to find a way to keep the recipe book open and a place to set the recipe book while you compile the meal – 10 minutes.

How a broadband user makes dinner:

1. Surveys the fridge as noted above. – 5 minutes.
2. Go to allrecipes.com and foodtv.com and check off a list of ingredients that you have on hand. – 2 minutes.
3. Click the button to search recipes and see results of all 200 recipes that meat your specifications. – 6 seconds.
4. Narrow the search to include something that also has purple onions. – 3 seconds.
5. Print out the recipe as a 3×5 cutout. – 15 seconds.
This process would take over an hour on dial-up Internet waiting for pages to load.

Not only is the broadband connection faster, but it changes how time is spent. Rather than waiting, searching, and trying to find even a simple result for your search, it quickly puts you in the right category and then all of your time is spent using your right brain to choose which result you want to go with.

How a dial-up user programs their TV remote:

1. Dig through drawers looking for the manual. – 20minutes-1 hour.
2. Assuming that the remote is found, look up in index how to program the device.

How a broadband user programs their TV remote:

1. Visit the manufacturer’s website. – 5 seconds.
2. Go to the support section and into the manual downloads. – 10 seconds.
3. Download the manual. – 45 seconds (25 minutes or more on dial-up).
4. Search the manual for “program channels.” – 6 seconds.

Broadband Internet becomes a tool that replaces lost time. Isn’t that worth $5-$10 more per month?

In fact, it is very likely that if you do your homework, you will find that broadband Internet will actually save you money and time.

I have thought a lot lately about writing a book about computers. I won’t do it, of course, but I have thought a lot about it.

My computer book wouldn’t be about how to use a computer or how to buy a computer It would be made up of short essays and articles centered around how computers impact our lives in ways we never expected.

I would include articles I have written about how being a computer guy with regular clients is not a far stretch from being a doctor or therapist with regular patience. You may think that my patients are the computers that I work on each day, but what I do has more to do with helping people than with helping machines.

I received a call the other day from a client I have been working with for five years. His call was short, “Adam, I just want you to know that I am going into an operation tomorrow. They found a hemorrhage in my brain and they need to work on it. In case I don’t make it I need to make sure you know how to show my wife where the important stuff is in the computer.”

He came out of it just fine and I have already seen him a couple of times since the surgery, but I doubt many repair men get a call from their customers explaining that they may be leaving the earth and it is up to them to make sure that those surviving members of the family can find the Thanksgiving turkey in the bottom of the freezer.

Intimate is not a word I would have associated with the job of being a computer guy before I started this, but over the years, I have helped families stay in touch with their sons and daughters serving over seas, I have helped mothers discover what their teenage sons have been looking at on the computer, I have even helped seniors setup online personal ads for dating sites.

Strange and uncomfortable as these things may seem, they are not unusual at all for me. My job isn’t centered around repairing computers, I believe that computers are a tool and the more uses we find for them, the richer our lives can be.

The point of a computer is to use it in ways that free up more time so you don’t have to be around the computer as much. Every aspect of  life has elements that are boring and mundane and elements that we love and live for. If a computer can do the former, we can devote more effort to the latter.